A statistical methodology is presented to model extreme values from non-stationary environmental processes. The methodology is based on a generalized Pareto model for peaks over threshold of the environmental process combined with a Voronoi representation for the variation of extreme value model parameters with multi-dimensional covariates. Bayesian inference using reversible-jump MCMC, incorporating Metropolis-Hastings within Gibbs sampling, is used to estimate the joint posterior distribution of all parameters of the Voronoi representation. The methodology is applied to characterise extreme ocean storm severity with direction and season. The fitted model is validated by comparing the characteristics of data simulated under the model with those of the original sample data. Further, the model is used to estimate the distribution of maxima of peaks over threshold corresponding to return periods much longer than the period of the original data.

A comprehensive e-book explaining Public Law and Constitutional Law in Wales and the UK. This revised version of the original volume published in 2016, reflects the important changes brought about by the Wales Act 2017, as well as the impact of 'Brexit' on legislation and on devolution. A necessary resource for law students in Wales and an essential volume for anyone with an interest in the field. Published by the Coleg Cymraeg Cenedlaethol, 2021.

Here you will have access to health and wellbeing resources that can be used in lectures, seminars or in personal tutoring meetings. Each resource is accompanied by an instruction sheet for the lecturer. Resources include: Activity 1: The Wheel of Wellbeing Directions 1: The Wheel of Welfare Activity 2: The well-being self-assessment tool Directions 2: The well-being self-assessment tool These resources have been prepared by Dyddgu Hywel, Senior Lecturer in Education, Cardiff Metropolitan University.   Sources of Help If you have a medical emergency, serious problem or a threat to life, call 999 If you are worried about your mental health, the first step to getting help is to tell your GP. A list of helplines, charities and useful information can be found on the meddwl.org website

This collection contains recorded conversations with prominent construction employers in Wales. The talks include introductions to the construction sector and the various methods used to develop new structures and protect old buildings. This collection aims to support schools and colleges that will teach new GCSEs and Foundation qualifications in construction, which will be available from September 2022. The webinars are about 20 minutes long and have been scripted to cover the criteria as outline in the two new Construction qualifications. Technical knowledge of the field is shared and the construction industry comes to life in the classroom or college with the inclusion of real life projects that are underway or have been recently completed. These webinars were recorded in collaboration with CITB Cymru.

This collection consists of 6 presentations for the Level 2: Children's Care, Play, Learning and Development: Core course.   These presentations encompass the following themes in line with the course specification: Wellbeing Supporting positive behaviour Playwork principles Additional learning needs Working in partnership with other agencies Teamwork

A series of interactive e-learning resources developed to support tutors wishing to embed the Welsh language and to teach bilingually in an online learning environment. There is a choice of six different units, and each unit should take approximately one hour to complete. Bilingual teaching and learning pedagogy in the new normal Bilingual teaching and learning pedagogy in Health and Social Care in the new normal Bilingual teaching and learning pedagogy in Childcare in the new normal Bilingual teaching and learning pedagogy in Public Services in the new normal Bilingual teaching and learning pedagogy for Welsh as an Employability Skill in the new normal Bilingual teaching and learning pedagogy in Adult Learning in the new normal.

A website that gives users a taste of how mathematics is relevant in sport, whether that is to improve our understanding of a particular scenario, improve equipment design, or to optimisize a strategy like the one that faces a team in a F1 race. This learning resource includes a review of numeric and geometric sequences and series, and uses these in the context of choosing a pitting strategy in a F1 race. The resource includes an interactive game where up to three learners can compete against each other by comparing different strategies, and check their solutions to the exercises. The website was created by Dr Tudur Davies and Mr Jakub Sowa from Aberystwyth University. The project was supported by a small grant from the London Mathematical Society.

The American Civil War (1861-65) was one of the most important formative events in the history of the United States. There is a wealth of evidence about the campaigns by the Welsh who were fighitng in them, because there were literally thousands of Welsh-speaking soldiers fighting in the Union (Northern) Army. The resources shared here shed light on their experiences, including vivid descriptions of some of the most famous events of the war. This will be of particular interest to history students at Swansea, Aberystwyth and Bangor Universities undertaking the second year module 'American Civil War'.

This resource is a collection of resources to support educators who wish to introduce more Welsh in the delivery of the Level 3 Uniformed Protective Services course. The collection has been created to support educators in planning and setting classroom work activities or evidence based on learners' Welsh language skills. The collection includes: • a guide that explains how to use the resource. • 'Mapping the Opportunities to introduce the Welsh language' document for each core unit. • bilingual posters of the key terms for each unit.

This resource is a collection of resources to support educators who wish to introduce more Welsh in the delivery of the Level 2 Children's Care, Play Learning and Development: Core course. The collection has been created to support educators in planning and setting classroom work activities or evidence based on learners' Welsh language skills. The collection includes: • a guide that explains how to use the resource. • 'Mapping the Opportunities to introduce the Welsh language' document for each core unit. • bilingual posters of the key terms for each unit. • a resource that provides ideas for learners to use the Welsh language on work placements.

This resource is a collection of resources to support educators who wish to introduce more Welsh in the delivery of the Level 2 Health and Social Care: Core course. The collection has been created to support educators in planning and setting classroom work activities or evidence based on learners' Welsh language skills. The collection includes: • a guide that explains how to use the resource. • 'Mapping the Opportunities to introduce the Welsh language' document for each core unit. • a series of tasks that meet the requirements of specific assessment criteria of the course. They demonstrate how it is possible for all learners to complete the same task, whilst developing their Welsh language skills at individual and appropriate levels. • bilingual posters of the key terms for each unit. • a resource that provides ideas for learners to use the Welsh language on work placements.

A 10-minute short film explaining how changes in the Arctic Ocean and the decline in sea ice can directly influence the patterns and systems of our weather here in Wales. The film follows the history of the main adventurers to date, to the disappearance of sea ice and the impact of that. It combines film work from the Arctic Ocean (filmed by Bangor University Scientists on location) with laboratory experiments as well as presentations in front of the camera. The video is aimed at University students as well as school pupils. The video is avaiable in Welsh only.